Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.034753 3.504754 4.024953 4.643697 5.360050 6.163880 7.135128
2024-10-27 2.237077 2.806235 3.490717 4.375624 5.491237 6.853568 8.647584
2024-11-03 1.874421 2.527386 3.371797 4.546378 6.142630 8.243210 11.229093
2024-11-10 1.628599 2.342569 3.327959 4.791971 6.920999 9.918767 14.486347
2024-11-17 1.399811 2.134093 3.208722 4.903300 7.523690 11.447263 17.816330
2024-11-24 1.194573 1.919809 3.039207 4.902733 7.950421 12.777712 21.082670
2024-12-01 0.996094 1.679386 2.786332 4.722542 8.055462 13.613484 23.700019
2024-12-08 0.834152 1.469575 2.545771 4.515928 8.071401 14.289722 26.147402
2024-12-15 0.746677 1.371320 2.474730 4.583936 8.565253 15.851396 30.418043
2024-12-22 0.648531 1.237705 2.319747 4.472632 8.709428 16.797036 33.694546
2024-12-29 0.612601 1.213567 2.359803 4.731152 9.591662 19.260203 40.352092
2025-01-05 0.565442 1.159984 2.334895 4.856334 10.226198 21.331004 46.564713
2025-01-12 0.510054 1.084426 2.261424 4.884117 10.693649 23.197420 52.830457
2025-01-19 0.438105 0.963330 2.077057 4.648449 10.560150 23.774526 56.367161
2025-01-26 0.412922 0.939366 2.094973 4.860812 11.464185 26.803559 66.208013
2025-02-02 0.394972 0.928732 2.140499 5.144274 12.584899 30.531585 78.508094
2025-02-09 0.368074 0.893048 2.123548 5.277201 13.368060 33.595688 89.768788
2025-02-16 0.336418 0.840923 2.059912 5.284911 13.840439 35.975225 99.726576
2025-02-23 0.297647 0.765112 1.927308 5.095390 13.769276 36.947645 106.045582
2025-03-02 0.262322 0.692558 1.791763 4.875116 13.576061 37.559113 111.463738
2025-03-09 0.245084 0.664795 1.767170 4.950595 14.214279 40.567480 124.565919
2025-03-16 0.221163 0.615340 1.677892 4.831366 14.277393 41.961459 133.063403
2025-03-23 0.215663 0.616114 1.725176 5.111913 15.568027 47.181510 154.750806